Usability of saliva as a reliable and non-invasive sample for SARS-CoV-2 detection in Durban, South Africa (preprint)

Background Saliva has been proposed as a potential more convenient, cost-effective, and easier sample for diagnosing SARS-CoV-2 infections, but there is limited knowledge of the impact of saliva volumes and stages of infection on its sensitivity and specificity.Methods In this study, we evaluated the performance of SARS-CoV-2 testing in 171 saliva samples across different volumes (50, 100, 300 and 500ul of saliva) and at different stages of disease (at screening, day 7, 14 and 28 post SARS-CoV-2 diagnosis) from 52 mostly mild symptomatic patients. Imperfect nasopharyngeal swab samples were used as a reference.Results Overall, 52 of the 171 samples were positive, with sensitivity of 73.2% and specificity of 81.0%. The sensitivity of saliva samples ranged from 70.6% for 50µl to 83.3% for 300µl of saliva collected. The specificity values ranged between 78.8% for 500µl and 86.4% for 100µl saliva. The overall percentage of positive results in nasopharyngeal swabs and saliva specimens remained comparable throughout the study visits. We observed no significant difference in cycle number values between saliva and nasopharyngeal swab specimens, irrespective of saliva volume tested.Conclusions The saliva collection offers a promising approach for population-based testing. Implementing robust saliva-based testing strategies could contribute significantly to controlling and managing the COVID-19 pandemic.

Field evaluations of four SARS-CoV-2 rapid antigen tests during SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant wave in South Africa (preprint)

Background: Rapid antigen tests detecting SARS-CoV-2 are being increasingly used across the globe and were shown to be a useful tool in managing the COVID-19 pandemic. The purpose of this prospective study was to characterise the performance of four SARS-CoV-2 rapid antigen tests in a South African setting. Methods: Rapid antigen test evaluations were performed through drive-through testing centres in Durban, South Africa from July-December 2021. Two evaluation studies were performed: nasal Panbio COVID-19 Ag Rapid Test Device (Abbott) was evaluated in parallel with the nasopharyngeal Espline SARS-CoV-2 Ag test (Fujirebio, nasopharyngeal); followed by the evaluation of nasal RightSign COVID-19 Antigen Rapid test Cassette (Hangzhou Biotest Biotech) in parallel with the nasopharyngeal STANDARD Q COVID-19 Ag test (SD Biosensor). The Abbott RealTime SARS-CoV-2 assay was used as a reference test. Results: Evaluation of Panbio and Espline Ag tests was performed on 494 samples (31% positivity) while the evaluation of Standard Q and RightTest Ag tests was performed on 539 samples (13.17 % positivity). The overall sensitivity for all four tests ranged between 60-72% with excellent specificity values (>98%). Sensitivity increased to >80% in all tests in samples with Ct value <20. All four tests performed best in samples from patients presenting within the first week of symptom onset. Conclusions: All four evaluated tests detected a majority of the cases within the first week of symptom onset with high viral load and could be a valuable diagnostic tool for controlling the spread of SARS-CoV-2.

SARS-CoV-2 evolves increased infection elicited cell death and fusion in an immunosuppressed individual (preprint)

The milder clinical manifestations of Omicron infection relative to pre-Omicron SARS-CoV-2 raises the possibility that extensive evolution results in reduced pathogenicity. To test this hypothesis, we quantified induction of cell fusion and cell death in SARS-CoV-2 evolved from ancestral virus during long-term infection. Both cell fusion and death were reduced in Omicron BA.1 infection relative to ancestral virus. Evolved virus was isolated at different times during a 6-month infection in an immunosuppressed individual with advanced HIV disease. The virus isolated 16 days post-reported symptom onset induced fusogenicity and cell death at levels similar to BA.1. However, fusogenicity was increased in virus isolated at 6 months post-symptoms to levels intermediate between BA.1 and ancestral SARS-CoV-2. Similarly, infected cell death showed a graded increase from earlier to later isolates. These results may indicate that, at least by the cellular measures used here, evolution in long-term infection does not necessarily attenuate the virus.

TRENDS IN CASES, HOSPITALISATION AND MORTALITY RELATED TO THE OMICRON BA.4/BA.5 SUB-VARIANTS IN SOUTH AFRICA (preprint)

Introduction: The Omicron BA.1/BA.2 wave in South Africa had lower hospitalisation and mortality than previous SARS-CoV-2 variants and was followed by an Omicron BA.4/BA.5 wave. This study compared admission incidence risk across waves, and the risk of mortality in the Omicron BA.4/BA.5 wave, to the Omicron BA.1/BA.2 and Delta waves. Methods: Data from South Africa's national hospital surveillance system, SARS-CoV-2 case linelist and Electronic Vaccine Data System were linked and analysed. Wave periods were defined when the country passed a weekly incidence of 30 cases/100,000 people. Mortality rates in the Delta, Omicron BA.1/BA.2 and Omicron BA.4/BA.5 wave periods were compared by post-imputation random effect multivariable logistic regression models. Results: In-hospital deaths declined 6-fold from 37,537 in the Delta wave to 6,074 in the Omicron BA.1/BA.2 wave and a further 7-fold to 837 in the Omicron BA.4/BA.5 wave. The case fatality ratio (CFR) was 25.9% (N=144,798), 10.9% (N=55,966) and 7.1% (N=11,860) in the Delta, Omicron BA.1/BA.2, and Omicron BA.4/BA.5 waves respectively. After adjusting for age, sex, race, comorbidities, health sector and province, compared to the Omicron BA.4/BA.5 wave, patients had higher risk of mortality in the Omicron BA.1/BA.2 wave (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.43; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.32-1.56) and Delta (aOR 3.22; 95% CI 2.98-3.49) wave. Being partially vaccinated (aOR 0.89, CI 0.86-0.93), fully vaccinated (aOR 0.63, CI 0.60-0.66) and boosted (aOR 0.31, CI 0.24-0.41); and prior laboratory-confirmed infection (aOR 0.38, CI 0.35-0.42) were associated with reduced risks of mortality. Conclusion: Overall, admission incidence risk and in-hospital mortality, which had increased progressively in South Africa's first three waves, decreased in the fourth Omicron BA.1/BA.2 wave and declined even further in the fifth Omicron BA.4/BA.5 wave. Mortality risk was lower in those with natural infection and vaccination, declining further as the number of vaccine doses increased.

Omicron sub-lineages BA.4/BA.5 escape BA.1 infection elicited neutralizing immunity (preprint)

The SARS-CoV-2 Omicron (B.1.1.529) variant first emerged as the BA.1 sub-lineage, with extensive escape from neutralizing immunity elicited by previous infection with other variants, vaccines, or combinations of both. Two new sub-lineages, BA.4 and BA.5, are now emerging in South Africa with changes relative to BA.1, including L452R and F486V mutations in the spike receptor binding domain. We isolated live BA.4 and BA.5 viruses and tested them against neutralizing immunity elicited to BA.1 infection in participants who were Omicron/BA.1 infected but unvaccinated (n=24) and participants vaccinated with Pfizer BNT162b2 or Johnson and Johnson Ad26.CoV.2S with breakthrough Omicron/BA.1 infection (n=15). In unvaccinated individuals, FRNT50, the inverse of the dilution for 50% neutralization, declined from 275 for BA.1 to 36 for BA.4 and 37 for BA.5, a 7.6 and 7.5-fold drop, respectively. In vaccinated BA.1 breakthroughs, FRNT50 declined from 507 for BA.1 to 158 for BA.4 (3.2-fold) and 198 for BA.5 (2.6-fold). Absolute BA.4 and BA.5 neutralization levels were about 5-fold higher in this group versus unvaccinated BA.1 infected participants. The observed escape of BA.4 and BA.5 from BA.1 elicited immunity is more moderate than of BA.1 against previous immunity. However, the low absolute neutralization levels for BA.4 and BA.5, particularly in the unvaccinated group, are unlikely to protect well against symptomatic infection. This may indicate that, based on neutralization escape, BA.4 and BA.5 have potential to result in a new infection wave.

Beta infection combined with Pfizer BNT162b2 vaccination leads to broadened neutralizing immunity against Omicron (preprint)

Omicron (B.1.1.529) shows extensive escape from vaccine immunity, although vaccination reduces severe disease and death. Boosting with vaccines incorporating variant spike sequences could possibly broaden immunity. One approach to choose the variant may be to measure immunity elicited by vaccination combined with variant infection. Here we investigated Omicron neutralization in people infected with the Beta (B.1.351) variant and subsequently vaccinated with Pfizer BNT162b2. We observed that Beta infection alone elicited poor Omicron cross-neutralization, similar to what we previously found with BNT162b2 vaccination alone or in combination with ancestral or Delta virus infection. In contrast, Beta infection combined with BNT162b2 vaccination elicited neutralization with substantially lower Omicron escape.

Clinical severity of COVID-19 patients admitted to hospitals during the Omicron wave in South Africa (preprint)

Background: Clinical severity of patients hospitalised with SARS-CoV-2 infection during the Omicron (fourth) wave was assessed and compared to trends in the D614G (first), Beta (second), and Delta (third) waves in South Africa. Methods: Weekly incidence of 30 laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 cases/100,000 population defined the start and end of each wave. Hospital admission data were collected through an active national COVID-19-specific surveillance programme. Disease severity was compared across waves by post-imputation random effect multivariable logistic regression models. Severe disease was defined as one or more of acute respiratory distress, supplemental oxygen, mechanical ventilation, intensive-care admission or death. Results: 335,219 laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 admissions were analysed, constituting 10.4% of 3,216,179 cases recorded during the 4 waves. In the Omicron wave, 8.3% of cases were admitted to hospital (52,038/629,617) compared to 12.9% (71,411/553,530) in the D614G, 12.6% (91,843/726,772) in the Beta and 10.0% (131,083/1,306,260) in the Delta waves (p<0.001). During the Omicron wave, 33.6% of admissions experienced severe disease compared to 52.3%, 63.4% and 63.0% in the D614G, Beta and Delta waves (p<0.001). The in-hospital case fatality ratio during the Omicron wave was 10.7%, compared to 21.5%, 28.8% and 26.4% in the D614G, Beta and Delta waves (p<0.001). Compared to the Omicron wave, patients had more severe clinical presentations in the D614G (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.07; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.01-2.13), Beta (aOR 3.59; CI: 3.49-3.70) and Delta (aOR 3.47: CI: 3.38-3.57) waves. Conclusion: The trend of increasing cases and admissions across South Africa's first three waves shifted in Omicron fourth wave, with a higher and quicker peak but fewer admitted patients, who experienced less clinically severe illness and had a lower case-fatality ratio. Omicron marked a change in the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic curve, clinical profile and deaths in South Africa. Extrapolations to other populations should factor in differing vaccination and prior infection levels.

SARS-CoV-2 Omicron has extensive but incomplete escape of Pfizer BNT162b2 elicited neutralization and requires ACE2 for infection (preprint)

The emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant, first identified in South Africa, may compromise the ability of vaccine and previous infection (1) elicited immunity to protect against new infection. Here we investigated whether Omicron escapes antibody neutralization elicited by the Pfizer BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine in people who were vaccinated only or vaccinated and previously infected. We also investigated whether the virus still requires binding to the ACE2 receptor to infect cells. We isolated and sequence confirmed live Omicron virus from an infected person in South Africa. We then compared neutralization of this virus relative to an ancestral SARS-CoV-2 strain with the D614G mutation. Neutralization was by blood plasma from South African BNT162b2 vaccinated individuals. We observed that Omicron still required the ACE2 receptor to infect but had extensive escape of Pfizer elicited neutralization. However, 5 out of 6 of the previously infected, Pfizer vaccinated individuals, all of them with high neutralization of D614G virus, showed residual neutralization at levels expected to confer protection from infection and severe disease (2). While vaccine effectiveness against Omicron is still to be determined, these data support the notion that high neutralization capacity elicited by a combination of infection and vaccination, and possibly by boosting, could maintain reasonable effectiveness against Omicron. If neutralization capacity is lower or wanes with time, protection against infection is likely to be low. However, protection against severe disease, requiring lower neutralization levels and involving T cell immunity, would likely be maintained.

Immunogenicity of the Ad26.CoV2.S vaccine in people living with HIV (preprint)

Background People living with HIV (PLWH) have been reported to have an increased risk of more severe Covid-19 disease outcome and an increased risk of death relative to HIV-uninfected individuals. Here we assessed the ability of the Johnson and Johnson Ad26.CoV2.S vaccine to elicit neutralizing antibodies to the Delta variant in PLWH relative to HIV-uninfected individuals. Methods We enrolled 26 PLWH and 73 HIV-uninfected participants from the SISONKE phase 3b open label South African clinical trial of the Ad26.CoV2.S vaccine in health care workers (HCW) in a prospective observational cohort study. Enrollment was a median 56 days (range 19-98 days) post-vaccination. HCW PLWH had well suppressed HIV viremia. As a comparison, we also enrolled unvaccinated participants previously infected with SARS-CoV-2. This group consisted of 34 PLWH and 28 HIV-uninfected individuals. We used the presence of SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid antibodies and any previous record of SARS-CoV-2 infection to differentiate the vaccinated participants into participants who were previously infected with SARS-CoV-2 and those not previously infected. Neutralization capacity was assessed using participant plasma in a live virus neutralization assay of the Delta SARS-CoV-2 variant currently dominating infections in South Africa. This study was approved by the Biomedical Research Ethics Committee at the University of KwaZulu-Natal (reference BREC/00001275/2020). Findings Unvaccinated PLWH showed 6-fold reduced neutralization of the Delta variant relative to HIV-uninfected participants (GMT=105 for HIV-uninfected, 15 for PLWH, p=0.001). The majority (68%) of Ad26.CoV2.S vaccinated HCW were found to be previously infected with SARS-CoV-2. In this group, Delta variant neutralization was 9-fold higher compared to the infected only group (GMT of 306 versus 36) and 26-fold higher relative to the vaccinated only group (GMT=12). There was no significant difference in Delta variant neutralization in vaccinated and previously SARS-CoV-2 infected PLWH relative to vaccinated and previously SARS-CoV-2 infected, HIV-uninfected participants (GMT of 300 for PLWH versus 307 for HIV-uninfected). Vaccinated only participants showed a low neutralization of the Delta variant, with a stronger response in PLWH (GMT=73, for PLWH, 6 for HIV-uninfected, p=0.02). Interpretation While PLWH showed reduced neutralization of the Delta variant following SARS-CoV-2 infection, the neutralization response following Ad26.CoV2.S vaccination was not inferior to HIV-uninfected study participants. Funding South African Medical Research Council, The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Divergence of delta and beta variants and SARS-CoV-2 evolved in prolonged infection into distinct serological phenotypes (preprint)

Characterizing SARS-CoV-2 evolution in specific geographies may help predict the properties of variants coming from these regions. We mapped neutralization of a SARS-CoV-2 strain that evolved over 6 months from the ancestral virus in a person with advanced HIV disease. Infection was before the emergence of the Beta variant first identified in South Africa, and the Delta variant. We compared early and late evolved virus to the ancestral, Beta, Alpha, and Delta viruses and tested against convalescent plasma from ancestral, Beta, and Delta infections. Early virus was similar to ancestral, whereas late virus was similar to Beta, exhibiting vaccine escape and, despite pre-dating Delta, strong escape of Delta-elicited neutralization. This example is consistent with the notion that variants arising in immune-compromised hosts, including those with advanced HIV disease, may evolve immune escape of vaccines and enhanced escape of Delta immunity, with implications for vaccine breakthrough and reinfections. HighlightsO_LIA prolonged ancestral SARS-CoV-2 infection pre-dating the emergence of Beta and Delta resulted in evolution of a Beta-like serological phenotype C_LIO_LISerological phenotype includes strong escape from Delta infection elicited immunity, intermediate escape from ancestral virus immunity, and weak escape from Beta immunity C_LIO_LIEvolved virus showed substantial but incomplete escape from antibodies elicited by BNT162b2 vaccination C_LI Graphical abstract O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=110 SRC="FIGDIR/small/21263564v2_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (18K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1194bfdorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1cbe318org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@aa74f8org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@e57969_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG